In the afternoon of April 1st, 2016, the VEPR’s Chinese Economic Studies Program (VCES), the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) of the Institute of World Economics and Politics (IWEP) organized the Seminar on Chinese Economic and Strategic Research No.11 titled “Viet Nam – China Economic Dependence”
Speaker of Seminar on Chinese Economic and Strategic Research No.11 is Dr. Tran Toan Thang from the Central Institute for Economic Management (CIEM) – Ministry of Planning and Investment.
Participants of the seminar were experts, leading scholars and researchers in the fields of economics, politics, and diplomacy from many prestigious research institutions, lecturers and students from universities, and reporters from media agencies, etc.
In the beginning, Assoc. Prof. Dr. Chu Duc Dung – President of the Institute of World Economics and Politics (IWEP) and Dr. Pham Sy Thanh, Director of VEPR’s Chinese Economy Studies Program gave the opening remarks. Seminar on Chinese Economic and Strategic Research No. 11 is in the series of seminars on Chinese Economic and Strategic Research, which is organized bimonthly with the purpose of opening a forum for international and national researchers to present their research findings, and creating a network for academic exchanges regarding diplomatic, security, social and political issues in relations with China.
After that, Dr. Tran Toan Thang presented the research on “Viet Nam – China Economic Dependence”. Firstly, he mentioned about 3 aspects in Viet Nam – China Economic Dependence: (1) Economic and Geopolitics dependence (2) Trade depedence(3) Bilateral and multilateral relationship. Next, the speaker outlined the picture of China’s economy with 10 major highlights (decreasing growth, models of investment rate and high savings, industrial slowdown and surplus production,etc) .
In the following part, Dr. Tran Toan Thang gave the main focus on the Viet Nam – China trade relations, from which analyze the Viet Nam – China trade dependence from the perspective of exports, imports and investment. Finally, to forecast the economic dependence between the two countries, the authors applies the spatial gravity models and provides some preliminary conclusions as to the change in quantity and quality of China in recent years led to economic and geopolitics changes. These two aspects are closely related. The change of Chinese have a negative as well as positive impact on the economy of Vietnam;
The discussion drew attention from many experts and scholars.